Growing tensions in the Caucasus as the West tries to apply the "Libyan Model" to Syria and Iran - April, 2012
[The Rise of Russia is a very unique blog that offers insightful analysis of the volatile situation that has been manufactured in the Caucasus region. The author presents an unabashed promotion of Russia and Vladimir Putin as the God-sent antidote to Western/Zionist globalism, as he organizes Eurasian leaders into the last line of defense against a Fascist conquest of the world. A-plus, in my book....]
Reptilians in various Western capitols are trying very hard to apply the “Libyan model” to Syria and Iran. Under the guise of bringing “freedom & democracy” to Syria and Iran, they are trying to turn these embattled nations into the world’s newest failed states. In fact, if they could, they would seek the application of the same model to any nation that is not willingly submitting to their rule. As you read horrific accounts of a chaotic post-Qaddafi Libya and see what they are currently trying to do in Syria, simply realize that Western officials are currently seeding Armenia’s political landscape for similar types of unrest as well. As usual, senior level official in the West are counting on Armenia’s Western-led “rights” activists, “independent” journalists and “opozitsia” type politicians to carry out their dirty work under the guise of promoting “freedom & democracy” in Armenia.Fighting “corruption” and fighting for “democracy” in Armenia are dangerous diversions that are currently diverting our people’s attention from more urgent geopolitical matters. Armenia’s most pressing problems today are geopolitical and geographic. Yet, the political West would much rather have Armenia’s politically illiterate and problematic peasantry to continue hopelessly chasing their tails in pursuit of the ever elusive fantasy known as “democracy”… and in doing so weaken the foundations of the Armenian state so that they can impose their geopolitical formulations upon the region.Fooling our politically illiterate sheeple into rising up and fighting against “corruption” in Armenia is a strategic part and parcel of the West’s “Great Game” in the region. That is what they are placing their bests on.International levers
This does not mean that sociopolitical problems do not exist in Armenia. All nations on God’s earth have pressing issues, some more than others. We must recognize that despite our best efforts, a tiny, landlocked, embattled, poor and a remote Caucasus nation coming out of a thousand years of Turkic/Islamic/Bolshevik occupation, Armenia is bound to have severe growing up pains.
Having effectively co-opted international levers during the past several decades, the political West is making the pursuit of sociopolitical matters in a country like Armenia very dangerous. Since they control virtually every single international organization in existence; since they control the world’s leading news organizations; since they control much of the world’s economy and finance; since they have effectively weaponized the notions of freedom and democracy; since they have imposed their language (and thus their mindset/culture) upon much of the world, they today have overwhelming amount of power over humanity.
In fact, the level of power they have over mankind due to the levers they control today is unprecedented in human history. At no time in history had a single political entity wielded so much power and influence.
Therefore, by making responsible Armenians exceedingly cautious about forcefully seeking genuine change in the fledgling country, fearing that such efforts can be hijacked by Western interests and turned against the republic, the change we want for Armenia is coming about very slowly. Thus, in the big picture, Armenia is in stagnation precisely due to Western politics. The only way the political climate in the Caucasus region will simmer down and begin its long road to recovery is through Pax Russicana!And in order for Pax Russicana to finally come into effect in the Caucasus, the West and its regional Turkic, Georgian and Islamist lackeys have to be defeated. I also predict that as soon as problems with Georgia are solved, Yerevan will be joining the Eurasian Union. Knowing that the Eurasian Union is still unrealistic for Armenia due to the situation in Georgia, Yerevan is playing it safe with Washington by publicly announcing that is not not interested in a membership.
Failed states are easier to control
Senior officials in Washington in conjunction with the Western alliance’s propaganda organs have been actively propagating military intervention against Syria and Iran. Zionist leaders and Jewish-American pundits, supported by legions of their Shabaz goyin America, have been fervently beating the war drums. Some examples of their blatant warmongering are posted at the bottom of this commentary. Make no mistake about it, there is a massive and well-coordinated information war being carried-out against Damascus and Tehran. Despite Tehran’s and Damascus’ surprising resilience and the steadfast support they have been receiving from Russia and China, their enemies are out for blood and they are not showing signs of backing down. This situation is a clear indicator that the multi-national – American/European/Jewish/Turkic/Sunni – agenda against Damascus and Tehran are indeed very serious and that they are in this for thelong-term. Since Iran is a much tougher opponent, they are going after Syria first.
Similar to what occurred in Libya, having smelt blood, Western predators have begun to go after Damascus. The West and its regional allies realize that Syria is one of the strategic gates that can potentially lead to Iran. Military planners in the West know that Damascus’ fall will ultimately weaken and isolate Tehran. Similar to what they did in Iraq and Libya, their aim is now to simply topple the Assad regime and turn Syria into a failed state, thereby taking them out of the game. They are attempting to bring Western style democracy to Syria and Iran because they realize that failed states are much easier to deal with than independent ones that don’t want to cooperate.
A weaponized news media
Virtually all of their political rhetoric, all of their news reports, all of their press conferences and all of their newspaper Op-Ed pieces are more-or-less calling for a military strike against Syria. At the front line of this vicious propaganda assault against Damascus are Western journalists and various subversive groups operating under the guise of “human rights”. We are thus seeing in Syria various propaganda organs of the Western alliance meticulously attempting to hook the Western public onto yet another destructive war. Again, I want to reiterate that the news press in the United States has longed ceased reporting actual news; they are now busy creating news. In my opinion, it would be fully justified if Western journalists are categorized as combatants. Please watch the following by RT reports:
Mainscream Media: Iran hysteria stirring up in US:
‘Media – West proxy to fuel Syria conflict’:
Explosive Words: US media first to bomb Iran:
CIA & Western media’s total fiasco in Syria:
CrossTalk: Turkish Hegemon?
Al-Qaeda agents worm into Syrian rebel army:
US backs Al-Qaeda to mutually destroy Syria:
Free Syrian Arms: US gives guns to Al-Qaeda protege:
There may be opportunities for Yerevan
The good news for Yerevan is that Ankara’s ambitious policies vis-à-vis Syria is placing it in a direct collision course with Moscow. Ankara’s risky gamble in the Middle East may ultimately prove beneficial for Yerevan. The more Ankara pursues its neo-Ottoman wet-dreams in the region, the more will Moscow be inclined to turn it into a nightmare. The more Ankara tries to undermine Ar5menia, the more will Moscow be inclined to conspire against Turkish influence in the region. Moreover, Israel’s continuing covert military operations against Iran from Azerbaijani territory is creating renewed tensions between Baku and Tehran. And Baku’s belligerent stance regarding Nagorno Karabakh and the Russian radar station at Gabala is creating heightened tensions between it and Moscow. It must also be said that Tbilisi’s fate is beginning to hang in the air. Saakashvili’s despotic Western-Turkish-Israeli led and funded government is now isolated and probably close to a collapse. If the West or its allies militarily intervene in Syria or attack Iran, Moscow may want to make a drastic move on Georgia as a response. In fact, a recent news release out of Moscow actually suggested such a thing. Therefore, the first victim of the war against Iran or Syria may in fact be Georgia.A very interesting interview with Levan Pirveli, a Georgian opposition figure, appears at the bottom of this page.
I reiterate, these developments can prove very beneficial for Armenia. Are Armenian officials up to the task of recognizing and exploiting beneficial situations as they evolve?
Although Russia and Armenia are in a close alliance that is considered strategic in nature, the same cannot be said of the relationship that currently exists between Moscow and Tehran or Yerevan and Tehran. However, as tensions escalate in the region, Moscow, Yerevan and Tehran may eventually feel the need to form a trilateral alliance. If such an alliance forms, it will have been done out of necessity.
It must be pointed out that Kremlin officials are reluctantly supporting the regime in Tehran. It is no secret that Tehran has hegemonic intentions in the region. Iran has had political designs in the Caucasus and Central Asia, both seen by Moscow as its zones of influence. Unbeknownst to many, the government in Iran was involved in aiding Islamic movements that plagued the Caucasus and Central Asia throughout the 1990s. In an ideal world, Moscow would rather Iran not become a nuclear power. But sadly we don’t live in an ideal world. We live in a world that is being turned into a battlefield. Therefore, Moscow feels forced to protect Tehran due to some serious long-term geostrategic considerations.
Simply put, although it distrusts it, Moscow nevertheless sees Tehran as a natural buffer against Western, Turkish and Arabic expansionism. Realizing that a much greater threat looms not too far away, Moscow may eventually be forced to seek a deeper alliance with Tehran. If that happens, Armenia will naturally be drawn into this alliance. The following is an interesting 2009 commentary about this topic by Brazil’s Pepe Escobar -
The current geopolitical climate of the region will most probably endure for the next five-to-ten years. If Assad survives, and it is increasingly looking as if he will, we can expect Damascus to tighten its ties with Russia, thereby further polarizing the region. In such a scenario, an increased Russian military presence in Syria may seem very likely. And if Syria does remain intact, the campaign against Iran may begin to loose steam; that is if Tel Aviv does not in desperation decide to carry-out a unilateral strike. Nevertheless, the Western alliance has a lot to lose if Assad’s regime in Damascus remains intact. Due to the fluidity of the current situation in the region, however, there is no effective way of telling for sure what will happen in the coming months or years, and there is no way of knowing what is being planned in places such as Washington, London, Tel Aviv, Paris, Ankara, Tehran and Moscow. There are simply too many variables at play and the situation at hand is very unpredictable.
Russia playing an increasingly visible role
As already pointed out, there may still be opportunities in all this for Yerevan. But whether or not Armenians have the political maturity or the strategic foresight to recognize and take advantage of such opportunities is altogether another question. Nonetheless, the Middle East is now a volatile powder-keg on the verge of exploding. Stuck in close proximity of this explosive mess, responsible military officials in Yerevan are rightfully sticking as close to Moscow as possible. As it has been for hundreds of years, after Armenians themselves, Russia is the only guarantor of Armenia’s existence in the south Caucasus.
As the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, Moscow and Yerevan are beginning to implement a series of measures to ensure they are safeguarded from any possible fallout. But the potential of a major war breaking out in the region is not the only worry in Yerevan and Moscow today. The threat that Armenia and Russia faces today is two-fold. As pointed out in earlier commentaries, through its many human assets and organizational levers, Washington has been carefully seeding the political landscape in Armenia and Russia for unrest. Having failed miserably in trying to foment unrest in Russia before, during and after President Putin’s reelection, they may begin placing more emphasis on Armenia in the coming months.
Faced with the possibility of a major regional war and internal unrest, officials in Yerevan and Moscow need to have the courage and foresight to either shutdown or closely monitor the actions of various Western funded NGOs, independent journalists, rights campaigners and political activists within Armenia and Russia. Any Armenian in Armenia that currently is or has ever been connected to Western organizations need to be placed under surveillance by counter-terrorism units. Moscow has made a lot of headway in this regard in recent years; I now want to see Moscow assist Yerevan in doing the same in Armenia.
Cold War II