Friday, April 13, 2012

Growing tensions in the Caucasus as the West tries to apply the "Libyan Model" to Syria and Iran.....

Growing tensions in the Caucasus as the West tries to apply the "Libyan Model" to Syria and Iran - April, 2012

[The Rise of Russia is a very unique blog that offers insightful analysis of the volatile situation that has been manufactured in the Caucasus region. The author presents an unabashed promotion of Russia and Vladimir Putin as the God-sent antidote to Western/Zionist globalism, as he organizes Eurasian leaders into the last line of defense against a Fascist conquest of the world. A-plus, in my book....]

Reptilians in various Western capitols are trying very hard to apply the “Libyan model” to Syria and Iran. Under the guise of bringing “freedom & democracy” to Syria and Iran, they are trying to turn these embattled nations into the world’s newest failed states. In fact, if they could, they would seek the application of the same model to any nation that is not willingly submitting to their rule. As you read horrific accounts of a chaotic post-Qaddafi Libya and see what they are currently trying to do in Syria, simply realize that Western officials are currently seeding Armenia’s political landscape for similar types of unrest as well. As usual, senior level official in the West are counting on Armenia’s Western-led “rights” activists, “independent” journalists and “opozitsia” type politicians to carry out their dirty work under the guise of promoting “freedom & democracy” in Armenia.Fighting “corruption” and fighting for “democracy” in Armenia are dangerous diversions that are currently diverting our people’s attention from more urgent geopolitical matters. Armenia’s most pressing problems today are geopolitical and geographic. Yet, the political West would much rather have Armenia’s politically illiterate and problematic peasantry to continue hopelessly chasing their tails in pursuit of the ever elusive fantasy known as “democracy”… and in doing so weaken the foundations of the Armenian state so that they can impose their geopolitical formulations upon the region.Fooling our politically illiterate sheeple into rising up and fighting against “corruption” in Armenia is a strategic part and parcel of the West’s “Great Game” in the region. That is what they are placing their bests on.International levers

This does not mean that sociopolitical problems do not exist in Armenia. All nations on God’s earth have pressing issues, some more than others. We must recognize that despite our best efforts, a tiny, landlocked, embattled, poor and a remote Caucasus nation coming out of a thousand years of Turkic/Islamic/Bolshevik occupation, Armenia is bound to have severe growing up pains.

Having effectively co-opted international levers during the past several decades, the political West is making the pursuit of sociopolitical matters in a country like Armenia very dangerous. Since they control virtually every single international organization in existence; since they control the world’s leading news organizations; since they control much of the world’s economy and finance; since they have effectively weaponized the notions of freedom and democracy; since they have imposed their language (and thus their mindset/culture) upon much of the world, they today have overwhelming amount of power over humanity.

In fact, the level of power they have over mankind due to the levers they control today is unprecedented in human history. At no time in history had a single political entity wielded so much power and influence.

Therefore, by making responsible Armenians exceedingly cautious about forcefully seeking genuine change in the fledgling country, fearing that such efforts can be hijacked by Western interests and turned against the republic, the change we want for Armenia is coming about very slowly. Thus, in the big picture, Armenia is in stagnation precisely due to Western politics. The only way the political climate in the Caucasus region will simmer down and begin its long road to recovery is through Pax Russicana!And in order for Pax Russicana to finally come into effect in the Caucasus, the West and its regional Turkic, Georgian and Islamist lackeys have to be defeated. I also predict that as soon as problems with Georgia are solved, Yerevan will be joining the Eurasian Union. Knowing that the Eurasian Union is still unrealistic for Armenia due to the situation in Georgia, Yerevan is playing it safe with Washington by publicly announcing that is not not interested in a membership.

Failed states are easier to control

Senior officials in Washington in conjunction with the Western alliance’s propaganda organs have been actively propagating military intervention against Syria and Iran. Zionist leaders and Jewish-American pundits, supported by legions of their Shabaz goyin America, have been fervently beating the war drums. Some examples of their blatant warmongering are posted at the bottom of this commentary. Make no mistake about it, there is a massive and well-coordinated information war being carried-out against Damascus and Tehran. Despite Tehran’s and Damascus’ surprising resilience and the steadfast support they have been receiving from Russia and China, their enemies are out for blood and they are not showing signs of backing down. This situation is a clear indicator that the multi-national – American/European/Jewish/Turkic/Sunni – agenda against Damascus and Tehran are indeed very serious and that they are in this for thelong-term. Since Iran is a much tougher opponent, they are going after Syria first.

Similar to what occurred in Libya, having smelt blood, Western predators have begun to go after Damascus. The West and its regional allies realize that Syria is one of the strategic gates that can potentially lead to Iran. Military planners in the West know that Damascus’ fall will ultimately weaken and isolate Tehran. Similar to what they did in Iraq and Libya, their aim is now to simply topple the Assad regime and turn Syria into a failed state, thereby taking them out of the game. They are attempting to bring Western style democracy to Syria and Iran because they realize that failed states are much easier to deal with than independent ones that don’t want to cooperate.

A weaponized news media

Virtually all of their political rhetoric, all of their news reports, all of their press conferences and all of their newspaper Op-Ed pieces are more-or-less calling for a military strike against Syria. At the front line of this vicious propaganda assault against Damascus are Western journalists and various subversive groups operating under the guise of “human rights”. We are thus seeing in Syria various propaganda organs of the Western alliance meticulously attempting to hook the Western public onto yet another destructive war. Again, I want to reiterate that the news press in the United States has longed ceased reporting actual news; they are now busy creating news. In my opinion, it would be fully justified if Western journalists are categorized as combatants. Please watch the following by RT reports:

Mainscream Media: Iran hysteria stirring up in US:

‘Media – West proxy to fuel Syria conflict’:

Explosive Words: US media first to bomb Iran:

CIA & Western media’s total fiasco in Syria:

As pointed out in a previous blog commentary, in addition to the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance’s larger-than-life presence in the historically embattled Middle East, France, Turkey and several pivotal Arab Gulf monarchies are also gradually making their presence felt by taking advantage of the new geopolitical fluidity of the region. Thus, we are seeing in Syria a strange but not new convergence of Western-Zionist, neo-Ottoman and Sunni-Islamic interests. Geopolitics makes strange bedfellows. The following RT reports addresses the growing influence of Turks and Arab monarchies:

CrossTalk: Turkish Hegemon?

US-backed Sunnis push Arab Spring to rule Muslim world:

It must also be reiterated that the so-called “Al-Qaeda” is again seen fighting alongside Western forces. After bloody operations in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Russia, Serbia, Libya and Iran, Al-Qaeda can now add Syria to its impressive resume. No surprises here. What may be surprising, however, is that the mysterious terror group in question has essentially served as the military wing of Western/Israeli, Pakistani and Saudi Arabian intelligence agencies. Almost everything the terror group known as “Al-Qaeda” has done during the past twenty-five years or so has more-or-less served Western interests – including the 9/11 attacks in the United States. Once the sheeple of the world begins to understands this simple yet troubling fact, everything else will make much more sense for them. RT has been one of the few news organizations that has covered this topic:

Al-Qaeda agents worm into Syrian rebel army:

US backs Al-Qaeda to mutually destroy Syria:

Free Syrian Arms: US gives guns to Al-Qaeda protege:

The situation at hand in the Middle East has long ceased to be a war of rhetoric between Syrians, Arab monarchies, Iranians, Turks, Israelis, Westerners and Russians. Regionalpowers are now actively vying for political advantage. The situation has developed into a serious military affair. It is being reported that various regional players currently have assets in the field of operation. It is also being reported that various major powers currently have covert military teams operating within Syria. A group of French special forces personnel were reportedly captured in the Syrian city of Homs several weeks ago and more recently a unit of anti-terror personnel from Russia was reported to be operating inside Syria. Needles to say, if this very explosive situation gets drawn-out much longer, it has the potential of seriously getting out of control. The region’s unrest has gotten uncomfortably close to the Caucasus, and Baku and Tbilisi are increasingly becoming causes of concern.

There may be opportunities for Yerevan

The escalating unrest and critical situations in regions adjacent to Russia’s vulnerable underbelly is elevating the importance of the already very important geostrategic significance of the Caucasus for Moscow. As Western-instigated wars and political unrests encroach on Russian interests in the region, Moscow is beginning to take on a more aggressive political posture. Libya was the pawn Moscow reluctantly gave up in its desperate effort to protect its bishops, Syria and Iran. Realizing now that its presence in the strategic region are directly threatened by the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance and friends, Moscow has finally decided to do away with diplomatic niceties and draw a clear line in the sand.
For its part, not only has Moscow blocked all efforts by the West and its allies to intervene in Syria, it has also in recent months conducted several significant military exercises and it is planning additional ones in the near future. This muscle flexing is obviously meant to be a show of force. Moscow is signaling to the West that it has had enough of their hooliganism at its doorstep. In the coming months and years, we can expect Moscow to further strengthen its strategic forces and to continue bolstering its military presence throughout the Caucasus region. Strategically situated and straddling the regions of unrest, needless to say, Armenia will be a major theater of Russian operations.The following link is to a Russian television report about heightened military training Russian forces are currently undergoing in Armenia:

The good news for Yerevan is that Ankara’s ambitious policies vis-à-vis Syria is placing it in a direct collision course with Moscow. Ankara’s risky gamble in the Middle East may ultimately prove beneficial for Yerevan. The more Ankara pursues its neo-Ottoman wet-dreams in the region, the more will Moscow be inclined to turn it into a nightmare. The more Ankara tries to undermine Ar5menia, the more will Moscow be inclined to conspire against Turkish influence in the region. Moreover, Israel’s continuing covert military operations against Iran from Azerbaijani territory is creating renewed tensions between Baku and Tehran. And Baku’s belligerent stance regarding Nagorno Karabakh and the Russian radar station at Gabala is creating heightened tensions between it and Moscow. It must also be said that Tbilisi’s fate is beginning to hang in the air. Saakashvili’s despotic Western-Turkish-Israeli led and funded government is now isolated and probably close to a collapse. If the West or its allies militarily intervene in Syria or attack Iran, Moscow may want to make a drastic move on Georgia as a response. In fact, a recent news release out of Moscow actually suggested such a thing. Therefore, the first victim of the war against Iran or Syria may in fact be Georgia.A very interesting interview with Levan Pirveli, a Georgian opposition figure, appears at the bottom of this page.

I reiterate, these developments can prove very beneficial for Armenia. Are Armenian officials up to the task of recognizing and exploiting beneficial situations as they evolve?

Moscow-Yerevan-Tehran Axis?

Although Russia and Armenia are in a close alliance that is considered strategic in nature, the same cannot be said of the relationship that currently exists between Moscow and Tehran or Yerevan and Tehran. However, as tensions escalate in the region, Moscow, Yerevan and Tehran may eventually feel the need to form a trilateral alliance. If such an alliance forms, it will have been done out of necessity.

It must be pointed out that Kremlin officials are reluctantly supporting the regime in Tehran. It is no secret that Tehran has hegemonic intentions in the region. Iran has had political designs in the Caucasus and Central Asia, both seen by Moscow as its zones of influence. Unbeknownst to many, the government in Iran was involved in aiding Islamic movements that plagued the Caucasus and Central Asia throughout the 1990s. In an ideal world, Moscow would rather Iran not become a nuclear power. But sadly we don’t live in an ideal world. We live in a world that is being turned into a battlefield. Therefore, Moscow feels forced to protect Tehran due to some serious long-term geostrategic considerations.

Simply put, although it distrusts it, Moscow nevertheless sees Tehran as a natural buffer against Western, Turkish and Arabic expansionism. Realizing that a much greater threat looms not too far away, Moscow may eventually be forced to seek a deeper alliance with Tehran. If that happens, Armenia will naturally be drawn into this alliance. The following is an interesting 2009 commentary about this topic by Brazil’s Pepe Escobar -

Iran/Russia – a deadly embrace (Part 1):
Iran/Russia – a deadly embrace (Part 2):

The current geopolitical climate of the region will most probably endure for the next five-to-ten years. If Assad survives, and it is increasingly looking as if he will, we can expect Damascus to tighten its ties with Russia, thereby further polarizing the region. In such a scenario, an increased Russian military presence in Syria may seem very likely. And if Syria does remain intact, the campaign against Iran may begin to loose steam; that is if Tel Aviv does not in desperation decide to carry-out a unilateral strike. Nevertheless, the Western alliance has a lot to lose if Assad’s regime in Damascus remains intact. Due to the fluidity of the current situation in the region, however, there is no effective way of telling for sure what will happen in the coming months or years, and there is no way of knowing what is being planned in places such as Washington, London, Tel Aviv, Paris, Ankara, Tehran and Moscow. There are simply too many variables at play and the situation at hand is very unpredictable.

Russia playing an increasingly visible role

As already pointed out, there may still be opportunities in all this for Yerevan. But whether or not Armenians have the political maturity or the strategic foresight to recognize and take advantage of such opportunities is altogether another question. Nonetheless, the Middle East is now a volatile powder-keg on the verge of exploding. Stuck in close proximity of this explosive mess, responsible military officials in Yerevan are rightfully sticking as close to Moscow as possible. As it has been for hundreds of years, after Armenians themselves, Russia is the only guarantor of Armenia’s existence in the south Caucasus.

As the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, Moscow and Yerevan are beginning to implement a series of measures to ensure they are safeguarded from any possible fallout. But the potential of a major war breaking out in the region is not the only worry in Yerevan and Moscow today. The threat that Armenia and Russia faces today is two-fold. As pointed out in earlier commentaries, through its many human assets and organizational levers, Washington has been carefully seeding the political landscape in Armenia and Russia for unrest. Having failed miserably in trying to foment unrest in Russia before, during and after President Putin’s reelection, they may begin placing more emphasis on Armenia in the coming months.

Faced with the possibility of a major regional war and internal unrest, officials in Yerevan and Moscow need to have the courage and foresight to either shutdown or closely monitor the actions of various Western funded NGOs, independent journalists, rights campaigners and political activists within Armenia and Russia. Any Armenian in Armenia that currently is or has ever been connected to Western organizations need to be placed under surveillance by counter-terrorism units. Moscow has made a lot of headway in this regard in recent years; I now want to see Moscow assist Yerevan in doing the same in Armenia.

Armenia is vulnerable to Western meddlingDue to very low living standards, incompetent officials, high underemployment and a politically illiterate citizenry, Armenia is particularly a very vulnerable nation on the brink of a major political disaster. Armenia’s political illiterates and Western mercenaries parading as independent journalists, rights activists and opposition politicians simply cannot be given the “democratic” freedom to undermine the Armenian statehood by their pursuits of a Grimm fairytale popularly known as around the world as “democracy”. In other words, Yerevan cannot risk becoming the next victim of the Anglo-American-Zionist alliance and it’s Turkic and Islamic friends. Armenia cannot risk becoming a failed state as a result of playing with the devil. Therefore, if official Yerevan has to take the initiative by breaking a few heads to ensure the safety of the embattled Armenian state and preserve its strategically crucial alliance with Moscow, then so be it.In the turbulent times that lay ahead, the interior ministry in Armenia needs to keep a very close eye on Armenia’s Western funded activists and Yerevan needs to keep as close to Moscow as possible.

Cold War II

Despite the reptilian talk we hear in Washington about a so-called “reset” in Western relations with Moscow, what we currently have in reality is the continuation of the Cold War between Moscow and the West. We are seeing tensions between Moscow and the West rise over important matters such as missile defense, NATO expansion, Western meddling in Russian domestic affairs, energy exploration in the Arctic, espionage, color revolutions, Georgia, Syria, Iran… In short, there has clearly been a bipolarization of relations between Moscow and the West is recent years. I call this new bout of competitive rivalry between East and West - Cold War II - and I essentially blame the West for bringing the world to this point.Having said that, however, I see the Russian Federation today acting more in the spirit of its Czarist ancestry rather than its Soviet legacy. Similar to how the Russian Empire played an organic role in global affairs throughout much of the 18th and 19th centuries, the Russian Federation today has evolved into becoming a major geopolitical factor on the global stage. Moscow is gradually becoming a pivotal factor in global affairs and this has not come a moment too soon.
To reiterate: If Syria and Iran have not been invaded and/or broken apart from within, it is in large part due to the Russian factor in the politics of the region. The Russian Federation is proving to be the last front against American imperialism, NATO expansionism, Globalism, Islamic fanaticism, Zionism and Pan-Turkism. Without a strong Russian presence in the Caucasus, the region in question will turn into the playground of Western energy exploiters, Turks and Islamists practically overnight. Therefore, despite what Armenia’s Qaj Nazar’s think, no Russia in the Caucasus means no Armenia in the Caucasus.
The following are some relevant video reports and news articles that have caught my attention in recent weeks. Please make time and familiarize yourselves with what is currently going on in that region of the world.

April, 2012